If I score a critical hit on an 18 or higher, what are my chances of getting a critical hit if I roll 3d20? The 2019 Stack Overflow Developer Survey Results Are InWhat are my chances of rolling a natural 19/20 critical if I roll 3d20?What modifiers are and are not included in a DnD 3.5e critical hit?How do I roll for damage with a critical hit?Great Weapon Master Critical Hit ResolutionCan an advantage roll be a critical hit?Is there a way to make the Elven Accuracy feat work with the second benefit of Great Weapon Master?How does forgoing advantage interact with Elven Accuracy?Is this critical hit damage calculation correct?Are these two methods of handling Elven Accuracy “Double Advantage” mathematically equivalent?What are my chances of rolling a natural 19/20 critical if I roll 3d20?Does the advantage reroll of Elven Accuracy only apply to the ability you increased?

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If I score a critical hit on an 18 or higher, what are my chances of getting a critical hit if I roll 3d20?



The 2019 Stack Overflow Developer Survey Results Are InWhat are my chances of rolling a natural 19/20 critical if I roll 3d20?What modifiers are and are not included in a DnD 3.5e critical hit?How do I roll for damage with a critical hit?Great Weapon Master Critical Hit ResolutionCan an advantage roll be a critical hit?Is there a way to make the Elven Accuracy feat work with the second benefit of Great Weapon Master?How does forgoing advantage interact with Elven Accuracy?Is this critical hit damage calculation correct?Are these two methods of handling Elven Accuracy “Double Advantage” mathematically equivalent?What are my chances of rolling a natural 19/20 critical if I roll 3d20?Does the advantage reroll of Elven Accuracy only apply to the ability you increased?



.everyoneloves__top-leaderboard:empty,.everyoneloves__mid-leaderboard:empty,.everyoneloves__bot-mid-leaderboard:empty margin-bottom:0;








8












$begingroup$


I have Elven Accuracy so with advantage on an attack roll using Dexterity, Intelligence, Wisdom, or Charisma, you can reroll one of the dice once.



So what are my crit chance with a crit range of 18/20 with three rolls also what would be the crit chance with a crit range of 17/20 with three rolls.










share|improve this question









New contributor




Braymal Gaming is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.







$endgroup$







  • 1




    $begingroup$
    The notation you're using for the crit range is unusual. Are you describing a Champion Fighter? If so, where are you getting the 17/20 range from?
    $endgroup$
    – Xirema
    8 hours ago






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    What class/sub class is your character?
    $endgroup$
    – KorvinStarmast
    8 hours ago






  • 2




    $begingroup$
    Possible duplicate of What are my chances of rolling a natural 19/20 critical if I roll 3d20?
    $endgroup$
    – Julien Lopez
    5 hours ago

















8












$begingroup$


I have Elven Accuracy so with advantage on an attack roll using Dexterity, Intelligence, Wisdom, or Charisma, you can reroll one of the dice once.



So what are my crit chance with a crit range of 18/20 with three rolls also what would be the crit chance with a crit range of 17/20 with three rolls.










share|improve this question









New contributor




Braymal Gaming is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.







$endgroup$







  • 1




    $begingroup$
    The notation you're using for the crit range is unusual. Are you describing a Champion Fighter? If so, where are you getting the 17/20 range from?
    $endgroup$
    – Xirema
    8 hours ago






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    What class/sub class is your character?
    $endgroup$
    – KorvinStarmast
    8 hours ago






  • 2




    $begingroup$
    Possible duplicate of What are my chances of rolling a natural 19/20 critical if I roll 3d20?
    $endgroup$
    – Julien Lopez
    5 hours ago













8












8








8





$begingroup$


I have Elven Accuracy so with advantage on an attack roll using Dexterity, Intelligence, Wisdom, or Charisma, you can reroll one of the dice once.



So what are my crit chance with a crit range of 18/20 with three rolls also what would be the crit chance with a crit range of 17/20 with three rolls.










share|improve this question









New contributor




Braymal Gaming is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.







$endgroup$




I have Elven Accuracy so with advantage on an attack roll using Dexterity, Intelligence, Wisdom, or Charisma, you can reroll one of the dice once.



So what are my crit chance with a crit range of 18/20 with three rolls also what would be the crit chance with a crit range of 17/20 with three rolls.







dnd-5e statistics critical-hit






share|improve this question









New contributor




Braymal Gaming is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.











share|improve this question









New contributor




Braymal Gaming is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.









share|improve this question




share|improve this question








edited 7 hours ago









divibisan

1,730620




1,730620






New contributor




Braymal Gaming is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.









asked 8 hours ago









Braymal GamingBraymal Gaming

412




412




New contributor




Braymal Gaming is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.





New contributor





Braymal Gaming is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.






Braymal Gaming is a new contributor to this site. Take care in asking for clarification, commenting, and answering.
Check out our Code of Conduct.







  • 1




    $begingroup$
    The notation you're using for the crit range is unusual. Are you describing a Champion Fighter? If so, where are you getting the 17/20 range from?
    $endgroup$
    – Xirema
    8 hours ago






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    What class/sub class is your character?
    $endgroup$
    – KorvinStarmast
    8 hours ago






  • 2




    $begingroup$
    Possible duplicate of What are my chances of rolling a natural 19/20 critical if I roll 3d20?
    $endgroup$
    – Julien Lopez
    5 hours ago












  • 1




    $begingroup$
    The notation you're using for the crit range is unusual. Are you describing a Champion Fighter? If so, where are you getting the 17/20 range from?
    $endgroup$
    – Xirema
    8 hours ago






  • 1




    $begingroup$
    What class/sub class is your character?
    $endgroup$
    – KorvinStarmast
    8 hours ago






  • 2




    $begingroup$
    Possible duplicate of What are my chances of rolling a natural 19/20 critical if I roll 3d20?
    $endgroup$
    – Julien Lopez
    5 hours ago







1




1




$begingroup$
The notation you're using for the crit range is unusual. Are you describing a Champion Fighter? If so, where are you getting the 17/20 range from?
$endgroup$
– Xirema
8 hours ago




$begingroup$
The notation you're using for the crit range is unusual. Are you describing a Champion Fighter? If so, where are you getting the 17/20 range from?
$endgroup$
– Xirema
8 hours ago




1




1




$begingroup$
What class/sub class is your character?
$endgroup$
– KorvinStarmast
8 hours ago




$begingroup$
What class/sub class is your character?
$endgroup$
– KorvinStarmast
8 hours ago




2




2




$begingroup$
Possible duplicate of What are my chances of rolling a natural 19/20 critical if I roll 3d20?
$endgroup$
– Julien Lopez
5 hours ago




$begingroup$
Possible duplicate of What are my chances of rolling a natural 19/20 critical if I roll 3d20?
$endgroup$
– Julien Lopez
5 hours ago










4 Answers
4






active

oldest

votes


















29












$begingroup$

The other answers do a good job of answering the question, but I'll point out how you can answer questions like this in the future:



https://anydice.com/ is a very powerful (if slightly complicated) calculator for these sorts of questions. In your case, you'd enter the query:



output [highest 1 of 3d20]


And then select "At Least" from options below to get this table, which shows the odds of getting at least each number:



enter image description here



The result, is 38.59% for a crit range of 18, and 48.8% for a crit range of 17






share|improve this answer











$endgroup$




















    28












    $begingroup$

    For "at least one" probability problems, it's usually easier to start by calculating the chance that none of the dice crit, as that saves you the hassle of combining the probabilities of getting 1/2/3 crits.



    Best of three rolls with 18-20 crit range: ~39% chance to crit



    Chance that a single die will not crit: 17/20 = 0.85

    Chance that all three dice will not crit: (17/20) x (17/20) x (17/20) = 0.614125

    Chance that at least one die will crit: 1 - (17/20)3 = 0.385875



    Best of three rolls with 17-20 crit range: ~49% chance to crit



    Chance that a single die will not crit: 16/20 = 0.8

    Chance that all three dice will not crit: (16/20) x (16/20) x (16/20) = 0.512

    Chance that at least one die will crit: 1 - (16/20)3 = 0.488






    share|improve this answer











    $endgroup$




















      5












      $begingroup$

      If p is the probability of a crit on a single role, then 1-(1-p)^N is the probability of at least one crit on N roles.



      so for N=3 and p=3/20, P=38.6%



      for crit range 17-20, P=48.8% (WOW!)






      share|improve this answer











      $endgroup$












      • $begingroup$
        so noted. I have now edited my answer
        $endgroup$
        – Jeremy
        8 hours ago


















      3












      $begingroup$

      It depends on how you use the Elven Accuracy Die



      There's two ways that players are legally allowed to use the Elven Accuracy Die:



      • Replace the lower of the two advantage dice (Type A)

      • Replace the higher of the two advantage dice (Type B)

      In the former case, this roll is mathematically equivalent to rolling 3 dice and taking the highest. In the latter case, it's more like rolling two dice, taking the lower, and then taking the higher of that result and a third die.



      beginarrayl
      textOutcomes & text18-20 A & text18-20 B
      \ hline
      textNon-Crit & text61.413% & text83.088% \
      textCrit & text38.588% & text16.913% \
      endarray

      beginarrayl
      & text17-20 A & text17-20 B \ hline
      textNon-Crit & text51.200% & text76.800% \
      textCrit & text48.800% & text23.200% \
      endarray



      Note: as far as I'm aware, in 5th Edition D&D, it is not possible to get a Critical hit range that includes 17. It's possible I'm unaware of a specific class feature or magic item that is expanding the range beyond what can be attained by a Champion Fighter at level 15. But as a result, the second table (the 17-20 range) does not have practical use in this game.






      share|improve this answer









      $endgroup$








      • 1




        $begingroup$
        That seems a bit convoluted since the rerolling is optional but I suppose it doesn't hurt to have the extra data.
        $endgroup$
        – Sdjz
        7 hours ago











      Your Answer





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      4 Answers
      4






      active

      oldest

      votes








      4 Answers
      4






      active

      oldest

      votes









      active

      oldest

      votes






      active

      oldest

      votes









      29












      $begingroup$

      The other answers do a good job of answering the question, but I'll point out how you can answer questions like this in the future:



      https://anydice.com/ is a very powerful (if slightly complicated) calculator for these sorts of questions. In your case, you'd enter the query:



      output [highest 1 of 3d20]


      And then select "At Least" from options below to get this table, which shows the odds of getting at least each number:



      enter image description here



      The result, is 38.59% for a crit range of 18, and 48.8% for a crit range of 17






      share|improve this answer











      $endgroup$

















        29












        $begingroup$

        The other answers do a good job of answering the question, but I'll point out how you can answer questions like this in the future:



        https://anydice.com/ is a very powerful (if slightly complicated) calculator for these sorts of questions. In your case, you'd enter the query:



        output [highest 1 of 3d20]


        And then select "At Least" from options below to get this table, which shows the odds of getting at least each number:



        enter image description here



        The result, is 38.59% for a crit range of 18, and 48.8% for a crit range of 17






        share|improve this answer











        $endgroup$















          29












          29








          29





          $begingroup$

          The other answers do a good job of answering the question, but I'll point out how you can answer questions like this in the future:



          https://anydice.com/ is a very powerful (if slightly complicated) calculator for these sorts of questions. In your case, you'd enter the query:



          output [highest 1 of 3d20]


          And then select "At Least" from options below to get this table, which shows the odds of getting at least each number:



          enter image description here



          The result, is 38.59% for a crit range of 18, and 48.8% for a crit range of 17






          share|improve this answer











          $endgroup$



          The other answers do a good job of answering the question, but I'll point out how you can answer questions like this in the future:



          https://anydice.com/ is a very powerful (if slightly complicated) calculator for these sorts of questions. In your case, you'd enter the query:



          output [highest 1 of 3d20]


          And then select "At Least" from options below to get this table, which shows the odds of getting at least each number:



          enter image description here



          The result, is 38.59% for a crit range of 18, and 48.8% for a crit range of 17







          share|improve this answer














          share|improve this answer



          share|improve this answer








          edited 7 hours ago









          Sdjz

          14.1k467114




          14.1k467114










          answered 7 hours ago









          divibisandivibisan

          1,730620




          1,730620























              28












              $begingroup$

              For "at least one" probability problems, it's usually easier to start by calculating the chance that none of the dice crit, as that saves you the hassle of combining the probabilities of getting 1/2/3 crits.



              Best of three rolls with 18-20 crit range: ~39% chance to crit



              Chance that a single die will not crit: 17/20 = 0.85

              Chance that all three dice will not crit: (17/20) x (17/20) x (17/20) = 0.614125

              Chance that at least one die will crit: 1 - (17/20)3 = 0.385875



              Best of three rolls with 17-20 crit range: ~49% chance to crit



              Chance that a single die will not crit: 16/20 = 0.8

              Chance that all three dice will not crit: (16/20) x (16/20) x (16/20) = 0.512

              Chance that at least one die will crit: 1 - (16/20)3 = 0.488






              share|improve this answer











              $endgroup$

















                28












                $begingroup$

                For "at least one" probability problems, it's usually easier to start by calculating the chance that none of the dice crit, as that saves you the hassle of combining the probabilities of getting 1/2/3 crits.



                Best of three rolls with 18-20 crit range: ~39% chance to crit



                Chance that a single die will not crit: 17/20 = 0.85

                Chance that all three dice will not crit: (17/20) x (17/20) x (17/20) = 0.614125

                Chance that at least one die will crit: 1 - (17/20)3 = 0.385875



                Best of three rolls with 17-20 crit range: ~49% chance to crit



                Chance that a single die will not crit: 16/20 = 0.8

                Chance that all three dice will not crit: (16/20) x (16/20) x (16/20) = 0.512

                Chance that at least one die will crit: 1 - (16/20)3 = 0.488






                share|improve this answer











                $endgroup$















                  28












                  28








                  28





                  $begingroup$

                  For "at least one" probability problems, it's usually easier to start by calculating the chance that none of the dice crit, as that saves you the hassle of combining the probabilities of getting 1/2/3 crits.



                  Best of three rolls with 18-20 crit range: ~39% chance to crit



                  Chance that a single die will not crit: 17/20 = 0.85

                  Chance that all three dice will not crit: (17/20) x (17/20) x (17/20) = 0.614125

                  Chance that at least one die will crit: 1 - (17/20)3 = 0.385875



                  Best of three rolls with 17-20 crit range: ~49% chance to crit



                  Chance that a single die will not crit: 16/20 = 0.8

                  Chance that all three dice will not crit: (16/20) x (16/20) x (16/20) = 0.512

                  Chance that at least one die will crit: 1 - (16/20)3 = 0.488






                  share|improve this answer











                  $endgroup$



                  For "at least one" probability problems, it's usually easier to start by calculating the chance that none of the dice crit, as that saves you the hassle of combining the probabilities of getting 1/2/3 crits.



                  Best of three rolls with 18-20 crit range: ~39% chance to crit



                  Chance that a single die will not crit: 17/20 = 0.85

                  Chance that all three dice will not crit: (17/20) x (17/20) x (17/20) = 0.614125

                  Chance that at least one die will crit: 1 - (17/20)3 = 0.385875



                  Best of three rolls with 17-20 crit range: ~49% chance to crit



                  Chance that a single die will not crit: 16/20 = 0.8

                  Chance that all three dice will not crit: (16/20) x (16/20) x (16/20) = 0.512

                  Chance that at least one die will crit: 1 - (16/20)3 = 0.488







                  share|improve this answer














                  share|improve this answer



                  share|improve this answer








                  edited 5 hours ago

























                  answered 8 hours ago









                  Oblivious SageOblivious Sage

                  43.4k14137199




                  43.4k14137199





















                      5












                      $begingroup$

                      If p is the probability of a crit on a single role, then 1-(1-p)^N is the probability of at least one crit on N roles.



                      so for N=3 and p=3/20, P=38.6%



                      for crit range 17-20, P=48.8% (WOW!)






                      share|improve this answer











                      $endgroup$












                      • $begingroup$
                        so noted. I have now edited my answer
                        $endgroup$
                        – Jeremy
                        8 hours ago















                      5












                      $begingroup$

                      If p is the probability of a crit on a single role, then 1-(1-p)^N is the probability of at least one crit on N roles.



                      so for N=3 and p=3/20, P=38.6%



                      for crit range 17-20, P=48.8% (WOW!)






                      share|improve this answer











                      $endgroup$












                      • $begingroup$
                        so noted. I have now edited my answer
                        $endgroup$
                        – Jeremy
                        8 hours ago













                      5












                      5








                      5





                      $begingroup$

                      If p is the probability of a crit on a single role, then 1-(1-p)^N is the probability of at least one crit on N roles.



                      so for N=3 and p=3/20, P=38.6%



                      for crit range 17-20, P=48.8% (WOW!)






                      share|improve this answer











                      $endgroup$



                      If p is the probability of a crit on a single role, then 1-(1-p)^N is the probability of at least one crit on N roles.



                      so for N=3 and p=3/20, P=38.6%



                      for crit range 17-20, P=48.8% (WOW!)







                      share|improve this answer














                      share|improve this answer



                      share|improve this answer








                      edited 8 hours ago

























                      answered 8 hours ago









                      JeremyJeremy

                      1765




                      1765











                      • $begingroup$
                        so noted. I have now edited my answer
                        $endgroup$
                        – Jeremy
                        8 hours ago
















                      • $begingroup$
                        so noted. I have now edited my answer
                        $endgroup$
                        – Jeremy
                        8 hours ago















                      $begingroup$
                      so noted. I have now edited my answer
                      $endgroup$
                      – Jeremy
                      8 hours ago




                      $begingroup$
                      so noted. I have now edited my answer
                      $endgroup$
                      – Jeremy
                      8 hours ago











                      3












                      $begingroup$

                      It depends on how you use the Elven Accuracy Die



                      There's two ways that players are legally allowed to use the Elven Accuracy Die:



                      • Replace the lower of the two advantage dice (Type A)

                      • Replace the higher of the two advantage dice (Type B)

                      In the former case, this roll is mathematically equivalent to rolling 3 dice and taking the highest. In the latter case, it's more like rolling two dice, taking the lower, and then taking the higher of that result and a third die.



                      beginarrayl
                      textOutcomes & text18-20 A & text18-20 B
                      \ hline
                      textNon-Crit & text61.413% & text83.088% \
                      textCrit & text38.588% & text16.913% \
                      endarray

                      beginarrayl
                      & text17-20 A & text17-20 B \ hline
                      textNon-Crit & text51.200% & text76.800% \
                      textCrit & text48.800% & text23.200% \
                      endarray



                      Note: as far as I'm aware, in 5th Edition D&D, it is not possible to get a Critical hit range that includes 17. It's possible I'm unaware of a specific class feature or magic item that is expanding the range beyond what can be attained by a Champion Fighter at level 15. But as a result, the second table (the 17-20 range) does not have practical use in this game.






                      share|improve this answer









                      $endgroup$








                      • 1




                        $begingroup$
                        That seems a bit convoluted since the rerolling is optional but I suppose it doesn't hurt to have the extra data.
                        $endgroup$
                        – Sdjz
                        7 hours ago















                      3












                      $begingroup$

                      It depends on how you use the Elven Accuracy Die



                      There's two ways that players are legally allowed to use the Elven Accuracy Die:



                      • Replace the lower of the two advantage dice (Type A)

                      • Replace the higher of the two advantage dice (Type B)

                      In the former case, this roll is mathematically equivalent to rolling 3 dice and taking the highest. In the latter case, it's more like rolling two dice, taking the lower, and then taking the higher of that result and a third die.



                      beginarrayl
                      textOutcomes & text18-20 A & text18-20 B
                      \ hline
                      textNon-Crit & text61.413% & text83.088% \
                      textCrit & text38.588% & text16.913% \
                      endarray

                      beginarrayl
                      & text17-20 A & text17-20 B \ hline
                      textNon-Crit & text51.200% & text76.800% \
                      textCrit & text48.800% & text23.200% \
                      endarray



                      Note: as far as I'm aware, in 5th Edition D&D, it is not possible to get a Critical hit range that includes 17. It's possible I'm unaware of a specific class feature or magic item that is expanding the range beyond what can be attained by a Champion Fighter at level 15. But as a result, the second table (the 17-20 range) does not have practical use in this game.






                      share|improve this answer









                      $endgroup$








                      • 1




                        $begingroup$
                        That seems a bit convoluted since the rerolling is optional but I suppose it doesn't hurt to have the extra data.
                        $endgroup$
                        – Sdjz
                        7 hours ago













                      3












                      3








                      3





                      $begingroup$

                      It depends on how you use the Elven Accuracy Die



                      There's two ways that players are legally allowed to use the Elven Accuracy Die:



                      • Replace the lower of the two advantage dice (Type A)

                      • Replace the higher of the two advantage dice (Type B)

                      In the former case, this roll is mathematically equivalent to rolling 3 dice and taking the highest. In the latter case, it's more like rolling two dice, taking the lower, and then taking the higher of that result and a third die.



                      beginarrayl
                      textOutcomes & text18-20 A & text18-20 B
                      \ hline
                      textNon-Crit & text61.413% & text83.088% \
                      textCrit & text38.588% & text16.913% \
                      endarray

                      beginarrayl
                      & text17-20 A & text17-20 B \ hline
                      textNon-Crit & text51.200% & text76.800% \
                      textCrit & text48.800% & text23.200% \
                      endarray



                      Note: as far as I'm aware, in 5th Edition D&D, it is not possible to get a Critical hit range that includes 17. It's possible I'm unaware of a specific class feature or magic item that is expanding the range beyond what can be attained by a Champion Fighter at level 15. But as a result, the second table (the 17-20 range) does not have practical use in this game.






                      share|improve this answer









                      $endgroup$



                      It depends on how you use the Elven Accuracy Die



                      There's two ways that players are legally allowed to use the Elven Accuracy Die:



                      • Replace the lower of the two advantage dice (Type A)

                      • Replace the higher of the two advantage dice (Type B)

                      In the former case, this roll is mathematically equivalent to rolling 3 dice and taking the highest. In the latter case, it's more like rolling two dice, taking the lower, and then taking the higher of that result and a third die.



                      beginarrayl
                      textOutcomes & text18-20 A & text18-20 B
                      \ hline
                      textNon-Crit & text61.413% & text83.088% \
                      textCrit & text38.588% & text16.913% \
                      endarray

                      beginarrayl
                      & text17-20 A & text17-20 B \ hline
                      textNon-Crit & text51.200% & text76.800% \
                      textCrit & text48.800% & text23.200% \
                      endarray



                      Note: as far as I'm aware, in 5th Edition D&D, it is not possible to get a Critical hit range that includes 17. It's possible I'm unaware of a specific class feature or magic item that is expanding the range beyond what can be attained by a Champion Fighter at level 15. But as a result, the second table (the 17-20 range) does not have practical use in this game.







                      share|improve this answer












                      share|improve this answer



                      share|improve this answer










                      answered 7 hours ago









                      XiremaXirema

                      23.8k268140




                      23.8k268140







                      • 1




                        $begingroup$
                        That seems a bit convoluted since the rerolling is optional but I suppose it doesn't hurt to have the extra data.
                        $endgroup$
                        – Sdjz
                        7 hours ago












                      • 1




                        $begingroup$
                        That seems a bit convoluted since the rerolling is optional but I suppose it doesn't hurt to have the extra data.
                        $endgroup$
                        – Sdjz
                        7 hours ago







                      1




                      1




                      $begingroup$
                      That seems a bit convoluted since the rerolling is optional but I suppose it doesn't hurt to have the extra data.
                      $endgroup$
                      – Sdjz
                      7 hours ago




                      $begingroup$
                      That seems a bit convoluted since the rerolling is optional but I suppose it doesn't hurt to have the extra data.
                      $endgroup$
                      – Sdjz
                      7 hours ago










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